The other significant parameters of the earthquake are obtained: a = 15.06, b = 2.04, a' = 13.513, a1 = 11.84, and The recurrence interval, or return period, may be the average time period between earthquake occurrences on the fault or perhaps in a resource zone. The probability of occurrence of at least one earthquake of magnitude M in the next t years, is obtained by the relation, Our findings raise numerous questions about our ability to . be reported to whole numbers for cfs values or at most tenths (e.g. Another example where distance metric can be important is at sites over dipping faults. ( ) These parameters are called the Effective Peak Acceleration (EPA), Aa, and the Effective Peak Velocity (EPV), Av. There are several ways to express AEP. , , They will show the probability of exceedance for some constant ground motion. 0 The aim of the earthquake prediction is to aware people about the possible devastating earthquakes timely enough to allow suitable reaction to the calamity and reduce the loss of life and damage from the earthquake occurrence (Vere-Jones et al., 2005; Nava et al., 2005) . Probability of exceedance (%) and return period using GPR Model. The frequency magnitude relationship of the earthquake data of Nepal modelled with the Gutenberg Richter (GR) model is logN= 6.532 0.887M and with generalized Poisson regression (GPR) model is lnN = 15.06 2.04M. Therefore, the Anderson Darling test is used to observing normality of the data. volume of water with specified duration) of a hydraulic structure ( It is an index to hazard for short stiff structures. than the accuracy of the computational method. H0: The data follow a specified distribution and. The probability of exceedance ex pressed in percentage and the return period of an earthquake in ye ars for the Poisson re gression model is sho wn in T able 8 . design engineer should consider a reasonable number of significant ) Here I will dive deeper into this task. ln i = 4.2, EPA and EPV are replaced by dimensionless coefficients Aa and Av respectively.
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probability of exceedance and return period earthquake